Understanding the Market

Understanding Ponzi Schemes

Posted on December 20, 2008 - Filed Under Markets | Leave a Comment

Charles Ponzi (actually Carlo Ponzi, from Lugo, Italy, in the province of Ravenna) was living in Boston in 1918 and looking for a way to make money.  Then he discovered an apparent arbitrage possibility.  He could buy an international postal reply coupon (an IRC) in Italy that allowed him to buy a US stamp for [...]

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Understanding Fed Open Market Operations

Posted on December 17, 2008 - Filed Under Central Banks | Leave a Comment

The primary monetary policy tool of the Federal Reserve is the Federal Funds rate (see here for a description of the package of tools the Fed can use).  This article briefly describes the nature of monetary policy, the idea of targetting a rate and how the Fed actually conducts open market operations (for a fairly [...]

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Is the US in Recession in 2008? YES

Posted on December 1, 2008 - Filed Under Economy | Leave a Comment

[Updated as of November 26 data; on December 1, 2008, the NBER announced that in December 2007 a recession started.  I will no longer update this article with but I will write more about the recession here.]
Many market analysts (e.g., Warren Buffett, Martin Feldstein and Alan Greenspan), have argued that the U.S. economy [...]

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